GRE Argument Topic 9

GRE Argument Topic 9

Topic:

Nature's Way, a chain of stores selling health food and other health-related products, is opening its next franchise in the town of Plainsville. The store should prove to be very successful: Nature's Way franchises tend to be most profitable in areas where residents lead healthy lives, and clearly Plainsville is such an area. Plainsville merchants report that sales of running shoes and exercise clothing are at all-time highs. The local health club has more members than ever, and the weight training and aerobics classes are always full. Finally, Plainsville's schoolchildren represent a new generation of potential customers: these schoolchildren are required to participate in a fitness-for-life program, which emphasizes the benefits of regular exercise at an early age.

Write a response in which you examine the stated and/or unstated assumptions of the argument. Be sure to explain how the argument depends on these assumptions and what the implications are for the argument if the assumptions prove unwarranted.

Nature's Way، فروشگاه های زنجیره ای فروش مواد غذایی سالم و سایر محصولات مرتبط با سلامتی، شعبه بعدی خود را در شهر پلینز ویل افتتاح می کند. این فروشگاه باید بسیار موفق باشد: شعب Nature's Way بیشترین سود را در مناطقی دارد که ساکنان آن زندگی سالمی دارند و واضح است که پلینز ویل از این دست مناطق است. بازرگانان پلینز ویل گزارش داده اند که فروش کفش های مخصوص دویدن و لباس های ورزشی همواره در بالاترین حد خود می باشد. افراد در کلوپ سلامت محلی، بیش از هر زمان دیگری عضویت داشته اند و کلاس های آموزش تناسب اندام و ایروبیک همیشه پر هستند. سرانجام، دانش آموزان مدرسه پلینز ویل نشانگر نسل جدیدی از مشتریان بالقوه هستند: این دانش آموزان باید در برنامه تناسب اندام برای زندگی شرکت کنند، که بر مزایای ورزش منظم در سنین پایین تأکید دارد.
پاسخی بنویسید که در آن مفروضات بیان شده و / یا بیان نشده بحث را بررسی کنید. حتماً توضیح دهید که چگونه استدلال به این فرضیات بستگی دارد و در صورت عدم اثبات فرضیات، چه برداشت هایی در مورد بحث وجود دارد.

NOTE: The above topic has wording similar to Argument Tasks 81 and 83 of this Website. However, if you read carefully you will notice that the topic and the task instructions are different. Hence, it is very important to read the topic as well as its instructions completely before you start to write your response.

•    حمل و نقل مواد غذایی موجود در این مراکز وابسته به محل تولید این مواد می باشد. شاید فروشگاه های قبلی نزدیک به محل تولید و فروشگاه جدید دور از این مراکز باشد و در نتیجه سود کاهش یابد و حتی به ضرر تبدیل شود.
•    شاید فرانچایز گیرنده به برند و سود آسیب برساند.
•    از نظر رقبا به نکته ای اشاره نشده است که این فروشگاه در شعبه های قبلی خود چه رقبایی داشته و در شهر پلینز ویل چه رقبایی خواهد داشت. شاید قبلا فروشگاه های مشابه در این شهر، سبک مردم را تغییر داده و فروشگاه های معتبری وجود داشته باشند.
•    فروش بالای کفش و تجهیزات ورزشی می تواند دلایل دیگر درونی و بیرونی مانند آب و هوا و ... داشته باشد.
•    ضمنا باید روند علاقه به خرید این تجهیزات ورزشی را بررسی کرد تا از عدم وجود دلایل دیگر برای این افزایش مطمئن شویم.
•    شاید تناسبی بین کلوب های ورزشی و جمعیت این شهر وجود ندارد و پر بودن این کلاب ها برای کمبود این کلاب ها در این شهر باشد.
•    شاید مراکز ورزشی و کلاب ها به دلایل دیگری مانند وجود چشمه های آب گرم، فرهنگ و سبک زندگی گذشتگان، و ... شلوغ باشد و مردم علاقه ای به مواد غذایی این فروشگاه حس نکنند. ضمنا شاد در همین کلاب ها غذاهای سالم برای اعضا تهیه شده باشد.
•    تمرین های ورزشی برای کودکان لزوما نیاز آن ها به غذاهای سالم را افزایش نمیدهد. شاید کودکان در کنار تمرینات ورزشی علاقه رو به رشدی به فست فود ها هم داشته باشند.
•    ضمنا باید دید آیا بچه ها آنقدر پول تو جیبی کافی برای خرید محصولات این فروشگاه را دارند. یا والدین علاقه ای برای خرید از این فروشگاه ها را برای خود و فرزندانشان دارند.
•    از طرفی شاید دانش آموزان در سنین پایین علاقه ای به این فروشگاه نشان دهند ولی در آینده به این فروشگاه، علاقه نداشته باشند.
•    به علاوه از روند افزایش و کاهش تعداد دانش آموزان و زاد و ولد در این منطقه اطلاعاتی داده نشده است.

 

Strategies
Argument:
The argument uses information about healthful activities in Plainsville to support Nature's Way's opening its next franchise in Plainsville.
In developing your response to the topic, you must identify and examine both the stated and unstated assumptions of the argument to determine how the argument depends on those assumptions and how the argument fails if the assumptions prove to be incorrect.

Assumptions:
a) Nature's Way should be very successful in Plainsville. The writer assumes that the residents of Plainsville will purchase products from Nature's Way. This underlies the claim that Nature's Way will be successful in Plainsville. Since the residents are already health conscious, they may be buying health food somewhere else. Is there another health food store in Plainsville?
b) Nature’s Way franchises tend to be profitable in areas where the residents lead healthy lives. “Tend” is a qualifying word; it is not absolute. Are some Nature’s Way stores not profitable in areas where residents lead healthy lives? What might cause that lack of success?
c) The assumption that the children of Plainsville will be future customers of Nature's Way underlies the claim that Plainsville citizens lead healthy lives. There is no evidence that the children eat healthy food, just that they must participate in an exercise program. How many of these children will live in Plainsville as adults?
d) The residents of Plainsville lead healthy lives. The writer uses health club memberships and sales of running shoes and exercise clothing to support this assumption. It would be helpful to know how many of those club memberships are new and how many are renewals. How many times per week do the members go to the club to work out? What time of year is it? After the New Year’s holiday, people make resolutions to lose weight, eat healthier, and exercise. Those resolutions rarely stick. The stores may be having after-Christmas sales, and the reduced prices have prompted the citizens to replace worn out sneakers and clothing.
Your notes do not have to be exhaustive. As you begin to write your essay, your brain will generate new ideas. Make certain that you keep the directions in mind as you develop your ideas.

NOTE: The above topic has wording similar to Argument Tasks 81 and 83 of this Website. However, if you read carefully you will notice that the topic and the task instructions are different. Hence, it is very important to read the topic as well as its instructions completely before you start to write your response.

Sample 1:

The writer of the passage has listed facts about the lifestyle of Plainsville residents that support the likely success of a Nature’s Way franchise that is opening in that town. On the surface, this litany of healthy behaviors appears to be sufficient to bolster the position in the argument. Any good salesman would use a similar pitch to promote his product. However, several questions arise that could undermine the assumptions in this passage.

The first questions surround the reported increases in gym memberships and sales of sneakers and exercise clothing. It is no mystery that gym memberships increase at the beginning of each year. Adults make New Year’s resolutions to lose weight, eat healthier food, and exercise more, resulting in upticks in the purchases of gym memberships, increased traffic at healthy food stores, and increased purchases of fitness clothing. After-holiday sales might also account for the increase in sales of sneakers and exercise clothing. After all, those new gym members need something to wear.

The argument also posits that future sales at Nature’s Way are guaranteed as the children become healthier in Plainsville. They are required to participate in a program that emphasized the benefits of regular exercise at an early age. However, it is unclear whether this program requires them to exercise or eat healthy food, or how this might be enforced. Participation in the program does not guarantee participation in healthy activities. Their parents’ food and exercise habits are more likely than a school program to influence the children’s behavior. How many of those children will remain in Plainsville as adults? Merchants in other parts of the state or country are apt to benefit from the buying habits of these children when they become productive adults.

The assumption that any new business will be successful in any town is risky. Even Wal-Mart locations have failed in areas where the residents have no need to shop there. What is the median income in Plainsville? Are the residents college-educated? Specialty health-food stores cater to a relatively high socioeconomic group. Is there already a health-food store in Plainsville? What does Nature’s Way have that will set it apart from businesses that already exist? Are the prices at Nature’s Way low enough to attract a large customer base? Unless the store provides superior product or service, or a lower price point, it will not stand out in any appreciable way.

Finally, the author’s use of the word tend should lead the reader to question the soundness of the assumptions in the passage. What happens to Nature’s Way when it turns out that Plainsville residents don’t stick to their resolutions to become healthier? They will find good excuses to skip going to the gym this week, and they’ll rationalize their way through a pan of brownies. When all is said and done, the author’s statement that Nature’s Way should be successful may be correct. If the people of Plainsville are serious about leading healthy lives, they should shop at Nature’s Way. That doesn’t mean that they will.

 

Sample 2:

The argument is based on a memo written by the vice president of a chain of stores selling health food and other health-related products named Nature’s Way. The vice president of Nature’s Way recommends that the company should build a new store in Plainsville because this place has residents who are highly concerned with leading healthy lifestyles. He has supported his argument by citing information about sale of sports products, the situation of local health club and a program called “fitness for life” in schools. However, none of these evidence lends credible support to the recommendation.

In the first place, the sale of running shoes and exercise apparel makes no sense to the conclusion that the residents would be interested in buying Nature’s Way products. People of Plainsville might pay more attention to exercise rather than health diet. It is highly possible that exercise apparel happens to be fashionable at the moment. Even if the sales of these products can represent the residents’ enthusiastic attitude towards keeping themselves healthy, there is no information that shows that their passion towards exercise would continue or increase. Hence, this evidence is not strong enough to conclude the argument. On the contrary, there is a chance of their believing that as a result of regular exercise they are sufficiently fit and healthy and do not need a health diet.

Secondly, the popularity of the local health club is little indication that Nature’s Way will earn a profit from a store on Plainsville. There is no evidence that shows that the poor business of local health club five years ago was due to little concern of residents towards health. In the past the club might have had a high membership fee or poor quality of equipment or untrained instructors and therefore, people did not go to it to exercise any more. Moreover, now the success of one health club cannot represent other clubs also. May be the local club is doing well now due to change in its management and improvement in the whole quality of the club. The author has not given convincing arguments in the support of his recommendation.

The third point is the fact that a certain fitness program is mandatory for Plainsville’s schoolchildren. This fact accomplishes nothing towards bolstering the recommendation. The author has not thought about the other side of this point that students who participate in a “fitness for life” program might not buy food from Nature’s Way. Moreover, they exercise a lot by playing football, baseball etc to keep themselves healthy. Hence, they are not the customers of the health diet.

Hence, the author’s recommendation is based entirely on some assumptions and the author has failed to support his assumptions with concrete evidence. The author should have analyzed the market and understood the attitude of residents in Plainsville. He should have talked to people who are the health club’s members, exercise regularly, buy exercise clothes etc. In addition, other information, such as the detailed situation of club, taste of children and average income of people in Plainsville would have helped to take a decision.


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